Most Likely Outcome
Daejeon Citizen Win
19%
5.13
27%
3.72
54%
1.87
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.6%
Draw
0 – 2
10.5%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.91
Jeju United FC xG
Total xG
2.56
1.65
Daejeon Citizen xG
Jeju United FCDrawDaejeon Citizen
5.13
19%
Home win
3.72
27%
Draw
1.87
54%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.02
50%
BTTS No
1.98
Clean Sheet
19%
5.22
40%
2.49
Win to Nil
4%
26.78
22%
4.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 12.7 | 10.5 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 11.6 | 9.6 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.911
λ Away (xG)
1.652
Total xG
2.563
League avg home goals
1.073
League avg away goals
1.279
Jeju United FC attack strength
0.906
Jeju United FC defence strength
1.025
Daejeon Citizen attack strength
1.261
Daejeon Citizen defence strength
0.937
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 49