Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Tue 22 Jul 2025

11:30

Venue

Gwangju Football Stadium

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Win

29%

Gwangju FC

3.44

26%

Draw

3.89

45%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Gwangju FC xG

Total xG

2.83

1.59

Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG

29%
26%
45%
Gwangju FCDrawGimcheon Sangmu FC

3.44

29%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

20%

Gwangju FC

4.91

29%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

3.43

Win to Nil

6%

Gwangju FC

16.91

13%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

7.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 9.4 7.5 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 7.3 11.6 9.3 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 4.5 7.2 5.7 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.9 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.233
λ Away (xG) 1.592
Total xG 2.825
League avg home goals 1.252
League avg away goals 1.230
Gwangju FC attack strength 0.933
Gwangju FC defence strength 1.038
Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack strength 1.247
Gimcheon Sangmu FC defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55