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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 22 Mar 2025

07:30

Venue

Gwangju Football Stadium

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gwangju FC Win

41%

Gwangju FC

2.44

27%

Draw

3.76

32%

Pohang Steelers

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Gwangju FC xG

Total xG

2.54

1.18

Pohang Steelers xG

41%
27%
32%
Gwangju FCDrawPohang Steelers

2.44

41%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

31%

Gwangju FC

3.25

26%

Pohang Steelers

3.91

Win to Nil

13%

Gwangju FC

7.93

8%

Pohang Steelers

12.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 9.3 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 10.7 12.6 7.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 8.6 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.363
λ Away (xG) 1.180
Total xG 2.543
League avg home goals 1.049
League avg away goals 1.093
Gwangju FC attack strength 1.017
Gwangju FC defence strength 0.933
Pohang Steelers attack strength 1.156
Pohang Steelers defence strength 1.278
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37