Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

11:00

Venue

Gwangju Football Stadium

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Daejeon Citizen Win

31%

Gwangju FC

3.19

25%

Draw

4.03

44%

Daejeon Citizen

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Gwangju FC xG

Total xG

2.83

1.56

Daejeon Citizen xG

31%
25%
44%
Gwangju FCDrawDaejeon Citizen

3.19

31%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

21%

Gwangju FC

4.74

28%

Daejeon Citizen

3.59

Win to Nil

7%

Gwangju FC

15.14

12%

Daejeon Citizen

8.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 9.2 7.1 3.7 1.4 0.4
1 7.5 11.7 9.1 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.8 7.5 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 2.0 3.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.277
λ Away (xG) 1.556
Total xG 2.833
League avg home goals 1.320
League avg away goals 1.241
Gwangju FC attack strength 0.912
Gwangju FC defence strength 1.028
Daejeon Citizen attack strength 1.220
Daejeon Citizen defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58