Most Likely Outcome
Bucheon FC 1995 Win
33%
2.99
30%
3.31
36%
2.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
12.0%
Away win
1 – 0
11.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.10
Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
Total xG
2.27
1.17
Bucheon FC 1995 xG
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDrawBucheon FC 1995
2.99
33%
Home win
3.31
30%
Draw
2.75
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.14
53%
BTTS No
1.88
Clean Sheet
31%
3.21
33%
3.02
Win to Nil
10%
9.59
12%
8.29
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.3 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.4 | 13.3 | 7.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.105
λ Away (xG)
1.165
Total xG
2.270
League avg home goals
1.090
League avg away goals
1.231
Gimcheon Sangmu FC attack strength
0.888
Gimcheon Sangmu FC defence strength
1.200
Bucheon FC 1995 attack strength
0.789
Bucheon FC 1995 defence strength
1.142
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 16