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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Anyang cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Ulsan Hyundai FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Anyang beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 3-1 at Anyang Stadium, Relegation Group - 35, in the K League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 1.78 xG and Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.08 xG, a combined 2.87. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. FC Anyang beat their projection by 1.2 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 1.06 / defence 0.99 against Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 0.89 / defence 1.12, drawn from 33/66 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 53% | Draw 25% | Ulsan Hyundai FC 22%, with FC Anyang to win its most likely call at 53%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. Over 3.5 was 32% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Anyang 53%, Ulsan Hyundai FC 38%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Anyang's trading profile (34 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did.

Ulsan Hyundai FC's trading profile (34 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Anyang 1.24 PPG, Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.21 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Anyang win broke the near-deadlock. FC Anyang (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.53 average — above their attacking norm. Ulsan Hyundai FC (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.47 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights