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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

11:30

Venue

Anyang Stadium

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT
📰

Prediction vindicated as Ulsan Hyundai FC edge out FC Anyang 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Ulsan Hyundai FC beat FC Anyang 0-1 at Anyang Stadium, Regular Season - 19, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 0.97 xG and Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.13 xG, a combined 2.10. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. FC Anyang fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 1.05 / defence 1.13 against Ulsan Hyundai FC attack 0.93 / defence 0.77, drawn from 9/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 31% | Draw 30% | Ulsan Hyundai FC 39%, with Ulsan Hyundai FC to win its most likely call at 39%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 35%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 62% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights

Model Over/Under 2.5 landed as modelled — 35% Over 2.5 probability, 1 goal scored.
Model BTTS matched the model — 42% projected, both teams did not both score.

⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.