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FC Anyang cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Suwon City FC.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
FC Anyang beat Suwon City FC 3-1 at Anyang Stadium, Regular Season - 9, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 1.04 xG and Suwon City FC 0.89 xG, a combined 1.92. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. FC Anyang beat their projection by 2.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 0.86 / defence 1.12 against Suwon City FC attack 0.74 / defence 1.04, drawn from 8/41 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 38% | Draw 31% | Suwon City FC 30%, with FC Anyang to win its most likely call at 38%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 30%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 57% and landed. Over 3.5 was 13% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 38% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.