🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Prediction vindicated as FC Anyang edge out Jeju United FC 2-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Anyang beat Jeju United FC 2-1 at Anyang Stadium, Regular Season - 29, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 1.45 xG and Jeju United FC 1.23 xG, a combined 2.68. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 0.97 / defence 1.11 against Jeju United FC attack 0.89 / defence 1.02, drawn from 28/61 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 42% | Draw 26% | Jeju United FC 32%, with FC Anyang to win its most likely call at 42%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Anyang 57%, Jeju United FC 43%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Anyang's trading profile (28 games, 14 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did.

Jeju United FC's trading profile (28 games, 14 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Anyang 1.18 PPG, Jeju United FC 1.11 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the FC Anyang win broke the near-deadlock.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights