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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as FC Anyang edge out Jeju United FC 2-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Anyang beat Jeju United FC 2-1 at Anyang Stadium, Regular Season - 10, in the K League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 1.09 xG and Jeju United FC 0.85 xG, a combined 1.94. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. FC Anyang beat their projection by 0.9 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 0.96 / defence 1.10 against Jeju United FC attack 0.71 / defence 0.96, drawn from 10/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 41% | Draw 31% | Jeju United FC 28%, with FC Anyang to win its most likely call at 41%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 31%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 58% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 38% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights