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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant FC Anyang run riot with a 4-0 hammering of Daegu FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Anyang beat Daegu FC 4-0 at Anyang Stadium, Regular Season - 23, in the K League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Anyang 1.56 xG and Daegu FC 1.31 xG, a combined 2.87. The scoreboard read 4-0 for 4 actual goals. FC Anyang beat their projection by 2.4 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Daegu FC landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Anyang attack 0.88 / defence 1.15 against Daegu FC attack 0.93 / defence 1.42, drawn from 22/55 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Anyang 43% | Draw 26% | Daegu FC 31%, with FC Anyang to win its most likely call at 43%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. Over 3.5 was 32% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Anyang 50%, Daegu FC 68%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Anyang's trading profile (22 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Daegu FC's trading profile (22 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, FC Anyang arrived the stronger side — 1.09 PPG against 0.64. That form edge translated into the three points. FC Anyang (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.18 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.36 average — tighter than their form line. Daegu FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 2.09 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights