Most Likely Outcome
Jeju United FC Win
24%
4.21
33%
3.06
44%
2.30
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.9%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
0 – 0
9.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.98
Daejeon Citizen xG
Total xG
2.38
1.39
Jeju United FC xG
Daejeon CitizenDrawJeju United FC
4.21
24%
Home win
3.06
33%
Draw
2.30
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.01
50%
BTTS No
1.99
Clean Sheet
25%
4.02
37%
2.67
Win to Nil
6%
16.94
16%
6.14
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 12.9 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 12.7 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.983
λ Away (xG)
1.392
Total xG
2.375
League avg home goals
1.167
League avg away goals
1.176
Daejeon Citizen attack strength
0.842
Daejeon Citizen defence strength
1.082
Jeju United FC attack strength
1.094
Jeju United FC defence strength
1.000
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 41