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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 22 Apr 2025

17:05

Venue

Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al-Nassr Win

22%

Damac

4.55

24%

Draw

4.12

54%

Al-Nassr

1.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Damac xG

Total xG

2.84

1.78

Al-Nassr xG

22%
24%
54%
DamacDrawAl-Nassr

4.55

22%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

1.86

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

17%

Damac

5.94

35%

Al-Nassr

2.89

Win to Nil

4%

Damac

27.06

19%

Al-Nassr

5.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 10.4 9.2 5.5 2.4 0.9
1 6.2 11.0 9.8 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 3.3 5.8 5.2 3.1 1.4 0.5
3 1.2 2.1 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.061
λ Away (xG) 1.782
Total xG 2.843
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.332
Damac attack strength 0.814
Damac defence strength 1.058
Al-Nassr attack strength 1.264
Al-Nassr defence strength 0.906
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62