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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al-Ittihad FC run riot with a 1-4 hammering of Al Wehda Club.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Ittihad FC beat Al Wehda Club 1-4 at King Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Regular Season - 20, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Wehda Club 1.30 xG and Al-Ittihad FC 2.05 xG, a combined 3.35. The scoreboard read 1-4 for 5 actual goals. Al-Ittihad FC outscored their 2.05 projection by 2.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Wehda Club attack 0.98 / defence 1.34 against Al-Ittihad FC attack 1.13 / defence 0.87, drawn from 53/53 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Wehda Club 24% | Draw 21% | Al-Ittihad FC 55%, with Al-Ittihad FC to win its most likely call at 55%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 65%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 43% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Wehda Club 64%, Al-Ittihad FC 68%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Wehda Club's trading profile (53 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did.

Al-Ittihad FC's trading profile (53 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Ittihad FC arrived the stronger side — 1.94 PPG against 0.92. Form held, and they took the win. Al Wehda Club (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 1.85 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al-Ittihad FC (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.69 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights