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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Taawon cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Al-Qadisiyah FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Taawon beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-0 at Al Taawon Arena, Regular Season - 7, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Taawon 1.89 xG and Al-Qadisiyah FC 1.88 xG, a combined 3.77. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Al-Qadisiyah FC landed 1.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Taawon attack 1.51 / defence 1.13 against Al-Qadisiyah FC attack 1.14 / defence 0.85, drawn from 40/40 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Taawon 39% | Draw 22% | Al-Qadisiyah FC 39%, with Al Taawon to win its most likely call at 39%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 73%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 90% and landed. Over 3.5 was 52% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 72% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 45% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Taawon 40%, Al-Qadisiyah FC 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Taawon's trading profile (40 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one.

Al-Qadisiyah FC's trading profile (40 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Qadisiyah FC arrived the stronger side — 2.05 PPG against 1.50. Form was overturned, with Al Taawon winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Al Taawon (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line. Al-Qadisiyah FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.45 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.10 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights