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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al Shabab run riot with a 5-1 hammering of Al Khaleej Saihat.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Shabab beat Al Khaleej Saihat 5-1 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Regular Season - 19, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Shabab 1.57 xG and Al Khaleej Saihat 1.42 xG, a combined 2.99. The scoreboard read 5-1 for 6 actual goals. Al Shabab beat their projection by 3.4 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Shabab attack 1.04 / defence 0.99 against Al Khaleej Saihat attack 1.07 / defence 1.00, drawn from 52/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Shabab 41% | Draw 24% | Al Khaleej Saihat 35%, with Al Shabab to win its most likely call at 41%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. Over 3.5 was 35% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Shabab 52%, Al Khaleej Saihat 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Shabab's trading profile (52 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here.

Al Khaleej Saihat's trading profile (52 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al Shabab 1.40 PPG, Al Khaleej Saihat 1.23 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Al Shabab win broke the near-deadlock. Al Shabab (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 1.76 average — above their attacking norm. Al Khaleej Saihat (home/away splits) shipped 5 against a 1.32 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights