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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al-Ittihad FC cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Al-Raed.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Ittihad FC beat Al-Raed 1-3 at King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, Regular Season - 32, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Raed 1.16 xG and Al-Ittihad FC 2.19 xG, a combined 3.35. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Al-Ittihad FC outscored their 2.19 projection by 0.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Raed attack 0.81 / defence 1.32 against Al-Ittihad FC attack 1.15 / defence 0.93, drawn from 65/65 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Raed 19% | Draw 20% | Al-Ittihad FC 61%, with Al-Ittihad FC to win its most likely call at 61%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 65%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 43% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Raed 57%, Al-Ittihad FC 66%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Raed's trading profile (65 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did.

Al-Ittihad FC's trading profile (65 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Ittihad FC arrived the stronger side — 1.97 PPG against 0.89. That form edge translated into the three points. Al-Raed (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.66 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al-Ittihad FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.72 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights