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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al-Qadisiyah FC cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Al Wehda Club.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al Wehda Club 3-1 at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Regular Season - 32, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Qadisiyah FC 1.43 xG and Al Wehda Club 0.94 xG, a combined 2.37. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Al-Qadisiyah FC beat their projection by 1.6 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Qadisiyah FC attack 1.05 / defence 0.76 against Al Wehda Club attack 0.87 / defence 0.89, drawn from 31/65 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Qadisiyah FC 48% | Draw 27% | Al Wehda Club 25%, with Al-Qadisiyah FC to win its most likely call at 48%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. Over 3.5 was 21% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Qadisiyah FC 45%, Al Wehda Club 61%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Qadisiyah FC's trading profile (31 games, 15 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 45% of the time, and conceded here.

Al Wehda Club's trading profile (31 games, 15 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Qadisiyah FC arrived the stronger side — 2.00 PPG against 1.03. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Al-Qadisiyah FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.60 average — above their attacking norm. Al Wehda Club (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.80 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights