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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al-Qadisiyah FC Win

51%

Al-Qadisiyah FC

1.97

25%

Draw

3.96

24%

Al Riyadh

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Al-Qadisiyah FC xG

Total xG

2.57

1.00

Al Riyadh xG

51%
25%
24%
Al-Qadisiyah FCDrawAl Riyadh

1.97

51%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

37%

Al-Qadisiyah FC

2.71

21%

Al Riyadh

4.84

Win to Nil

19%

Al-Qadisiyah FC

5.33

5%

Al Riyadh

20.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.6 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.0 12.0 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.5 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.577
λ Away (xG) 0.997
Total xG 2.574
League avg home goals 1.512
League avg away goals 1.350
Al-Qadisiyah FC attack strength 0.939
Al-Qadisiyah FC defence strength 0.797
Al Riyadh attack strength 0.926
Al Riyadh defence strength 1.111
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 56