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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al-Qadisiyah FC cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Al Najma.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al Najma 3-1 at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Qadisiyah FC 1.88 xG and Al Najma 1.10 xG, a combined 2.99. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Al-Qadisiyah FC beat their projection by 1.1 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Qadisiyah FC attack 1.14 / defence 0.86 against Al Najma attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 34/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Qadisiyah FC 56% | Draw 22% | Al Najma 22%, with Al-Qadisiyah FC to win its most likely call at 56%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. Over 3.5 was 35% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights