Al Orubah vs Al-Nassr – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Al-Nassr Win
13%
7.63
18%
5.49
69%
1.46
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 2
11.0%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 1
9.7%
Away win
1 – 2
9.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.88
Al Orubah xG
Total xG
3.15
2.27
Al-Nassr xG
Al OrubahDrawAl-Nassr
7.63
13%
Home win
5.49
18%
Draw
1.46
69%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.10
Clean Sheet
10%
9.66
41%
2.41
Win to Nil
1%
73.74
28%
3.51
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 9.7 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 2.1 |
| 1 | 3.8 | 8.6 | 9.7 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 1.9 |
| 2 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.881
λ Away (xG)
2.268
Total xG
3.149
League avg home goals
1.507
League avg away goals
1.357
Al Orubah attack strength
0.719
Al Orubah defence strength
1.261
Al-Nassr attack strength
1.325
Al-Nassr defence strength
0.813
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
22 / 56