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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al-Ittihad FC run riot with a 2-5 hammering of Al Okhdood.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Ittihad FC beat Al Okhdood 2-5 at Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City, Regular Season - 1, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Okhdood 1.28 xG and Al-Ittihad FC 1.91 xG, a combined 3.18. The scoreboard read 2-5 for 7 actual goals. Al-Ittihad FC outscored their 1.91 projection by 3.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Okhdood attack 0.89 / defence 1.14 against Al-Ittihad FC attack 1.11 / defence 0.99, drawn from 34/34 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Okhdood 26% | Draw 22% | Al-Ittihad FC 52%, with Al-Ittihad FC to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 7, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. Over 3.5 was 39% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Okhdood 47%, Al-Ittihad FC 65%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Okhdood's trading profile (34 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did.

Al-Ittihad FC's trading profile (34 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Ittihad FC arrived the stronger side — 2.44 PPG against 1.00. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Al Okhdood (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.88 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 5 against a 1.82 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al-Ittihad FC (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 1.88 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 2 against a 1.18 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights