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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Al-Awwal Park

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al-Nassr Win

59%

Al-Nassr

1.71

21%

Draw

4.69

20%

Al Riyadh

5.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

Al-Nassr xG

Total xG

3.21

1.14

Al Riyadh xG

59%
21%
20%
Al-NassrDrawAl Riyadh

1.71

59%

Home win

4.69

21%

Draw

5.00

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

32%

Al-Nassr

3.12

13%

Al Riyadh

7.95

Win to Nil

19%

Al-Nassr

5.32

3%

Al Riyadh

39.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.4 9.5 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.9 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.0 6.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.1 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.073
λ Away (xG) 1.138
Total xG 3.211
League avg home goals 1.434
League avg away goals 1.336
Al-Nassr attack strength 1.329
Al-Nassr defence strength 0.972
Al Riyadh attack strength 0.876
Al Riyadh defence strength 1.087
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60