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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al-Ahli Jeddah run riot with a 1-4 hammering of Al Khaleej Saihat.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al Khaleej Saihat 1-4 at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Regular Season - 34, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Khaleej Saihat 1.06 xG and Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.91 xG, a combined 2.97. The scoreboard read 1-4 for 5 actual goals. Al-Ahli Jeddah outscored their 1.91 projection by 2.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Khaleej Saihat attack 0.92 / defence 1.33 against Al-Ahli Jeddah attack 1.03 / defence 0.76, drawn from 67/67 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Khaleej Saihat 20% | Draw 24% | Al-Ahli Jeddah 56%, with Al-Ahli Jeddah to win its most likely call at 56%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. Over 3.5 was 35% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Khaleej Saihat 64%, Al-Ahli Jeddah 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Khaleej Saihat's trading profile (67 games, 33 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did.

Al-Ahli Jeddah's trading profile (67 games, 33 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 45% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Ahli Jeddah arrived the stronger side — 2.16 PPG against 1.10. That form edge translated into the three points. Al Khaleej Saihat (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 1.64 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al-Ahli Jeddah (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.45 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights