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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al-Hilal Saudi FC run riot with a 4-1 hammering of Al Wehda Club.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al Wehda Club 4-1 at Kingdom Arena, Regular Season - 16, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3.35 xG and Al Wehda Club 1.01 xG, a combined 4.36. The scoreboard read 4-1 for 5 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Hilal Saudi FC attack 1.96 / defence 0.79 against Al Wehda Club attack 0.89 / defence 1.20, drawn from 49/49 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Hilal Saudi FC 81% | Draw 11% | Al Wehda Club 8%, with Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win its most likely call at 81%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 81%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 93% and landed. Over 3.5 was 63% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 68% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Hilal Saudi FC 74%, Al Wehda Club 63%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Hilal Saudi FC's trading profile (49 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 43% of the time, and conceded here.

Al Wehda Club's trading profile (49 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Hilal Saudi FC arrived the stronger side — 2.78 PPG against 0.98. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Al Wehda Club (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 2.09 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights