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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al-Fayha cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Al Okhdood.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Fayha beat Al Okhdood 2-0 at Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, Regular Season - 32, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Fayha 0.86 xG and Al Okhdood 0.82 xG, a combined 1.68. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Al-Fayha beat their projection by 1.1 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Al Okhdood landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Fayha attack 0.73 / defence 0.79 against Al Okhdood attack 0.71 / defence 0.77, drawn from 65/65 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Fayha 34% | Draw 34% | Al Okhdood 32%, with Al-Fayha to win its most likely call at 34%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 24%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 50% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 32% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Fayha 51%, Al Okhdood 51%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Fayha's trading profile (65 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not.

Al Okhdood's trading profile (65 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al-Fayha 1.18 PPG, Al Okhdood 0.94 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Al-Fayha win broke the near-deadlock. Al-Fayha (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.91 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.28 average — tighter than their form line. Al Okhdood (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.88 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights