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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al-Ittihad FC cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Al-Ettifaq.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Ittihad FC beat Al-Ettifaq 1-3 at Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium, Regular Season - 33, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Ettifaq 1.40 xG and Al-Ittihad FC 1.58 xG, a combined 2.97. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Al-Ittihad FC outscored their 1.58 projection by 1.4. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Ettifaq attack 0.97 / defence 1.00 against Al-Ittihad FC attack 1.10 / defence 0.96, drawn from 66/65 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Ettifaq 33% | Draw 26% | Al-Ittihad FC 41%, with Al-Ittihad FC to win its most likely call at 41%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. Over 3.5 was 35% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Ettifaq 57%, Al-Ittihad FC 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Ettifaq's trading profile (65 games, 32 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.

Al-Ittihad FC's trading profile (65 games, 32 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Ittihad FC arrived the stronger side — 2.08 PPG against 1.48. Form held, and they took the win. Al-Ettifaq (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.53 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al-Ittihad FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.88 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights