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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al-Ahli Jeddah run riot with a 4-0 hammering of Al Okhdood.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al Okhdood 4-0 at King Abdullah Sports City, Regular Season - 31, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.66 xG and Al Okhdood 0.68 xG, a combined 3.34. The scoreboard read 4-0 for 4 actual goals. Al-Ahli Jeddah beat their projection by 1.3 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Ahli Jeddah attack 1.47 / defence 0.73 against Al Okhdood attack 0.65 / defence 1.20, drawn from 63/64 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Ahli Jeddah 79% | Draw 14% | Al Okhdood 7%, with Al-Ahli Jeddah to win its most likely call at 79%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 65%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 43% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Ahli Jeddah 49%, Al Okhdood 49%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Ahli Jeddah's trading profile (63 games, 31 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and duly kept one.

Al Okhdood's trading profile (63 games, 31 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Ahli Jeddah arrived the stronger side — 2.11 PPG against 0.79. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Al-Ahli Jeddah (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 2.52 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Al Okhdood (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.84 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.68 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights