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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

13:00

Venue

Gazprom Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zenit Win

58%

Zenit

1.71

22%

Draw

4.45

19%

Spartak Moscow

5.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Zenit xG

Total xG

2.81

0.95

Spartak Moscow xG

58%
22%
19%
ZenitDrawSpartak Moscow

1.71

58%

Home win

4.45

22%

Draw

5.25

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

39%

Zenit

2.59

16%

Spartak Moscow

6.38

Win to Nil

23%

Zenit

4.43

3%

Spartak Moscow

33.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 11.2 10.7 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.4 6.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.853
λ Away (xG) 0.953
Total xG 2.806
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.073
Zenit attack strength 1.124
Zenit defence strength 0.738
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.204
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.074
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50