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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

35%

Spartak Moscow

2.82

32%

Draw

3.12

32%

Zenit

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.49

1.22

Zenit xG

35%
32%
32%
Spartak MoscowDrawZenit

2.82

35%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

30%

Spartak Moscow

3.37

28%

Zenit

3.59

Win to Nil

11%

Spartak Moscow

9.51

9%

Zenit

11.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.0 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.6 12.8 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.7 8.2 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.278
λ Away (xG) 1.216
Total xG 2.494
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.172
Spartak Moscow attack strength 0.990
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.066
Zenit attack strength 0.973
Zenit defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34