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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 11 May 2026

15:30

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

39%

Spartak Moscow

2.53

29%

Draw

3.40

31%

Rubin

3.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.14

0.99

Rubin xG

39%
29%
31%
Spartak MoscowDrawRubin

2.53

39%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

3.22

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

37%

Spartak Moscow

2.69

32%

Rubin

3.17

Win to Nil

15%

Spartak Moscow

6.82

10%

Rubin

10.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 11.6 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 13.5 13.4 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 7.8 7.7 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.154
λ Away (xG) 0.990
Total xG 2.144
League avg home goals 1.351
League avg away goals 1.075
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.265
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.122
Rubin attack strength 0.820
Rubin defence strength 0.676
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58