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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

16:30

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

64%

Spartak Moscow

1.57

21%

Draw

4.79

15%

FC Sochi

6.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.0%

Home win

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

3.39

1.08

FC Sochi xG

64%
21%
15%
Spartak MoscowDrawFC Sochi

1.57

64%

Home win

4.79

21%

Draw

6.49

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

34%

Spartak Moscow

2.95

10%

FC Sochi

10.05

Win to Nil

22%

Spartak Moscow

4.64

2%

FC Sochi

65.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.8 8.4 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 9.0 9.7 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.9 7.5 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 4.0 4.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
5 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.308
λ Away (xG) 1.083
Total xG 3.391
League avg home goals 1.535
League avg away goals 1.306
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.007
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.116
FC Sochi attack strength 0.743
FC Sochi defence strength 1.494
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 6