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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

12:00

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

58%

Spartak Moscow

1.72

22%

Draw

4.49

19%

FC Orenburg

5.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.27

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

3.54

1.28

FC Orenburg xG

58%
22%
19%
Spartak MoscowDrawFC Orenburg

1.72

58%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

5.15

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.94

Clean Sheet

28%

Spartak Moscow

3.59

10%

FC Orenburg

9.63

Win to Nil

16%

Spartak Moscow

6.16

2%

FC Orenburg

49.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.5 8.4 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 7.4 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.6 7.2 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.2 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.265
λ Away (xG) 1.279
Total xG 3.544
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.225
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.118
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.996
FC Orenburg attack strength 1.048
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.392
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42