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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

59%

Spartak Moscow

1.70

27%

Draw

3.71

14%

Nizhny Novgorod

7.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.52

0.77

Nizhny Novgorod xG

59%
27%
14%
Spartak MoscowDrawNizhny Novgorod

1.70

59%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

7.12

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

46%

Spartak Moscow

2.15

17%

Nizhny Novgorod

5.77

Win to Nil

27%

Spartak Moscow

3.65

2%

Nizhny Novgorod

41.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 6.2 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 14.1 10.8 4.2 1.1 0.2
2 12.4 9.5 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 7.2 5.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.2 2.4 0.9 0.2
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.752
λ Away (xG) 0.767
Total xG 2.519
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 1.201
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.081
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.083
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.590
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.121
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39