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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Krylia Sovetov Win

37%

Spartak Moscow

2.71

26%

Draw

3.83

37%

Krylia Sovetov

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

3.44

1.72

Krylia Sovetov xG

37%
26%
37%
Spartak MoscowDrawKrylia Sovetov

2.71

37%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.24

Clean Sheet

18%

Spartak Moscow

5.58

18%

Krylia Sovetov

5.56

Win to Nil

7%

Spartak Moscow

15.15

7%

Krylia Sovetov

15.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 5.5 4.8 2.7 1.2 0.4
1 5.5 9.5 8.2 4.7 2.0 0.7
2 4.7 8.2 7.0 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 2.7 4.7 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.3
4 1.2 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.716
λ Away (xG) 1.720
Total xG 3.436
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 1.240
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.023
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.146
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 1.211
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 1.137
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38