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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

62%

Spartak Moscow

1.61

24%

Draw

4.22

14%

Khimki

7.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.96

0.91

Khimki xG

62%
24%
14%
Spartak MoscowDrawKhimki

1.61

62%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

7.06

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

40%

Spartak Moscow

2.48

13%

Khimki

7.74

Win to Nil

25%

Spartak Moscow

3.99

2%

Khimki

54.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.7 9.7 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.4 6.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 3.8 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.047
λ Away (xG) 0.908
Total xG 2.955
League avg home goals 1.470
League avg away goals 1.100
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.146
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.063
Khimki attack strength 0.776
Khimki defence strength 1.215
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 29