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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

13:15

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

42%

Spartak Moscow

2.38

31%

Draw

3.27

27%

FC Rostov

3.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.45

1.07

FC Rostov xG

42%
31%
27%
Spartak MoscowDrawFC Rostov

2.38

42%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

3.66

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

34%

Spartak Moscow

2.92

25%

FC Rostov

3.98

Win to Nil

14%

Spartak Moscow

6.95

7%

FC Rostov

14.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 9.2 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.9 12.7 6.8 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.2 8.8 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.8 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.381
λ Away (xG) 1.073
Total xG 2.454
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 1.182
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.136
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.028
FC Rostov attack strength 0.883
FC Rostov defence strength 0.824
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41