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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

74%

Spartak Moscow

1.35

21%

Draw

4.87

6%

Dinamo Makhachkala

18.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

3 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.24

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.79

0.55

Dinamo Makhachkala xG

74%
21%
Spartak MoscowDrawDinamo Makhachkala

1.35

74%

Home win

4.87

21%

Draw

18.02

6%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

58%

Spartak Moscow

1.73

11%

Dinamo Makhachkala

9.36

Win to Nil

43%

Spartak Moscow

2.35

1%

Dinamo Makhachkala

168.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 3.4 0.9 0.2
1 13.8 7.6 2.1 0.4 0.1
2 15.4 8.5 2.3 0.4 0.1
3 11.5 6.3 1.7 0.3
4 6.4 3.5 1.0 0.2
5 2.9 1.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.236
λ Away (xG) 0.551
Total xG 2.787
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.066
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.258
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.851
Dinamo Makhachkala attack strength 0.607
Dinamo Makhachkala defence strength 1.170
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 23