Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

13:45

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

40%

Spartak Moscow

2.51

33%

Draw

3.06

27%

CSKA Moscow

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.34

1.04

CSKA Moscow xG

40%
33%
27%
Spartak MoscowDrawCSKA Moscow

2.51

40%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

35%

Spartak Moscow

2.84

27%

CSKA Moscow

3.67

Win to Nil

14%

Spartak Moscow

7.11

7%

CSKA Moscow

13.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 10.0 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.5 13.0 6.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.1 8.5 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.300
λ Away (xG) 1.043
Total xG 2.343
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.103
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.078
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.939
CSKA Moscow attack strength 1.008
CSKA Moscow defence strength 0.899
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45