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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 26 Jul 2025

13:00

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

55%

Spartak Moscow

1.82

30%

Draw

3.28

15%

Baltika

6.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

2.47

0.80

Baltika xG

55%
30%
15%
Spartak MoscowDrawBaltika

1.82

55%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

6.85

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

45%

Spartak Moscow

2.22

19%

Baltika

5.30

Win to Nil

25%

Spartak Moscow

4.05

3%

Baltika

36.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 6.8 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 14.2 11.3 4.5 1.2 0.2
2 11.8 9.4 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.6 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.7 2.2 0.9 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.668
λ Away (xG) 0.799
Total xG 2.467
League avg home goals 1.434
League avg away goals 1.036
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.141
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.881
Baltika attack strength 0.875
Baltika defence strength 1.019
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 31 / 1