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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

12:00

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rubin Win

47%

Rubin

2.14

27%

Draw

3.64

26%

Spartak Moscow

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Rubin xG

Total xG

2.87

1.20

Spartak Moscow xG

47%
27%
26%
RubinDrawSpartak Moscow

2.14

47%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

30%

Rubin

3.31

19%

Spartak Moscow

5.31

Win to Nil

14%

Rubin

7.09

5%

Spartak Moscow

20.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 6.8 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.5 11.4 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.5 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.4 5.3 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.669
λ Away (xG) 1.198
Total xG 2.867
League avg home goals 1.507
League avg away goals 1.208
Rubin attack strength 1.030
Rubin defence strength 0.929
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.067
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.075
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35