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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

16:30

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

26%

Rubin

3.81

34%

Draw

2.94

40%

Spartak Moscow

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Rubin xG

Total xG

2.54

1.41

Spartak Moscow xG

26%
34%
40%
RubinDrawSpartak Moscow

3.81

26%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

24%

Rubin

4.10

32%

Spartak Moscow

3.08

Win to Nil

6%

Rubin

15.63

13%

Spartak Moscow

7.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 11.2 7.9 3.7 1.3 0.4
1 8.9 12.6 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 5.0 7.1 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.9 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.125
λ Away (xG) 1.412
Total xG 2.537
League avg home goals 1.289
League avg away goals 1.205
Rubin attack strength 1.021
Rubin defence strength 1.044
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.122
Spartak Moscow defence strength 0.855
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49