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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Mon 4 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rubin Win

63%

Rubin

1.60

24%

Draw

4.23

14%

FC Sochi

7.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

Rubin xG

Total xG

2.98

0.91

FC Sochi xG

63%
24%
14%
RubinDrawFC Sochi

1.60

63%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

7.24

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

40%

Rubin

2.48

13%

FC Sochi

7.92

Win to Nil

25%

Rubin

3.96

2%

FC Sochi

57.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 4.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.5 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.5 6.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 3.9 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.070
λ Away (xG) 0.907
Total xG 2.977
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.257
Rubin attack strength 1.165
Rubin defence strength 1.010
FC Sochi attack strength 0.714
FC Sochi defence strength 1.305
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 2