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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rubin Win

57%

Rubin

1.74

28%

Draw

3.52

14%

FC Orenburg

7.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Rubin xG

Total xG

2.33

0.71

FC Orenburg xG

57%
28%
14%
RubinDrawFC Orenburg

1.74

57%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

7.03

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

49%

Rubin

2.03

20%

FC Orenburg

5.05

Win to Nil

28%

Rubin

3.54

3%

FC Orenburg

35.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 15.8 11.2 4.0 0.9 0.2
2 12.8 9.1 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 6.9 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.619
λ Away (xG) 0.708
Total xG 2.327
League avg home goals 1.470
League avg away goals 1.100
Rubin attack strength 0.953
Rubin defence strength 0.805
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.799
FC Orenburg defence strength 1.155
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59