Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

13:15

Venue

Ak Bars Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rubin Win

39%

Rubin

2.54

30%

Draw

3.37

31%

Krylia Sovetov

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Rubin xG

Total xG

2.89

1.35

Krylia Sovetov xG

39%
30%
31%
RubinDrawKrylia Sovetov

2.54

39%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

26%

Rubin

3.85

21%

Krylia Sovetov

4.66

Win to Nil

10%

Rubin

9.77

7%

Krylia Sovetov

15.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 7.5 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.6 11.6 7.8 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 8.9 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.4 4.6 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.538
λ Away (xG) 1.348
Total xG 2.886
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 1.185
Rubin attack strength 0.920
Rubin defence strength 0.941
Krylia Sovetov attack strength 1.209
Krylia Sovetov defence strength 1.144
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40