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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Mon 2 Mar 2026

12:00

Venue

Fisht Olympic Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

26%

FC Sochi

3.82

26%

Draw

3.91

48%

Spartak Moscow

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

FC Sochi xG

Total xG

2.59

1.53

Spartak Moscow xG

26%
26%
48%
FC SochiDrawSpartak Moscow

3.82

26%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

22%

FC Sochi

4.63

35%

Spartak Moscow

2.87

Win to Nil

6%

FC Sochi

17.71

17%

Spartak Moscow

5.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 11.5 8.8 4.5 1.7 0.5
1 7.9 12.2 9.3 4.8 1.8 0.6
2 4.2 6.4 4.9 2.5 1.0 0.3
3 1.5 2.3 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.056
λ Away (xG) 1.533
Total xG 2.589
League avg home goals 1.433
League avg away goals 0.953
FC Sochi attack strength 0.730
FC Sochi defence strength 1.437
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.119
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 48