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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

12:30

Venue

Fisht Olympic Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Orenburg Win

29%

FC Sochi

3.40

27%

Draw

3.73

44%

FC Orenburg

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

FC Sochi xG

Total xG

2.47

1.39

FC Orenburg xG

29%
27%
44%
FC SochiDrawFC Orenburg

3.40

29%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

25%

FC Sochi

4.01

34%

FC Orenburg

2.96

Win to Nil

7%

FC Sochi

13.62

15%

FC Orenburg

6.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 11.7 8.1 3.8 1.3 0.4
1 9.1 12.7 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.0 6.9 4.8 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.8 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.086
λ Away (xG) 1.388
Total xG 2.474
League avg home goals 1.353
League avg away goals 1.081
FC Sochi attack strength 0.821
FC Sochi defence strength 1.385
FC Orenburg attack strength 0.927
FC Orenburg defence strength 0.977
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 57