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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

12:15

Venue

Fisht Olympic Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Sochi Win

40%

FC Sochi

2.52

34%

Draw

2.94

26%

Nizhny Novgorod

3.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

FC Sochi xG

Total xG

2.13

0.93

Nizhny Novgorod xG

40%
34%
26%
FC SochiDrawNizhny Novgorod

2.52

40%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

3.81

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

39%

FC Sochi

2.54

30%

Nizhny Novgorod

3.30

Win to Nil

16%

FC Sochi

6.39

8%

Nizhny Novgorod

12.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 11.1 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.3 13.3 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.5 7.9 3.7 1.1 0.3
3 3.4 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.195
λ Away (xG) 0.931
Total xG 2.126
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.195
FC Sochi attack strength 0.681
FC Sochi defence strength 1.494
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.521
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.191
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 40