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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Relegation Round

Kick-off

Wed 28 May 2025

17:30

Venue

Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Sochi Win

61%

FC Sochi

1.64

26%

Draw

3.82

13%

Nizhny Novgorod

7.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

FC Sochi xG

Total xG

2.62

0.77

Nizhny Novgorod xG

61%
26%
13%
FC SochiDrawNizhny Novgorod

1.64

61%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

7.79

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

46%

FC Sochi

2.16

16%

Nizhny Novgorod

6.37

Win to Nil

28%

FC Sochi

3.54

2%

Nizhny Novgorod

49.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.5 10.4 4.0 1.0 0.2
2 12.5 9.6 3.7 0.9 0.2
3 7.7 5.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 3.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.852
λ Away (xG) 0.769
Total xG 2.621
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.097
FC Sochi attack strength 1.018
FC Sochi defence strength 1.005
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.698
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.176
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 60