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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

10:45

Venue

Fisht Olympic Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Krasnodar Win

23%

FC Sochi

4.42

23%

Draw

4.35

54%

FC Krasnodar

1.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

FC Sochi xG

Total xG

2.90

1.81

FC Krasnodar xG

23%
23%
54%
FC SochiDrawFC Krasnodar

4.42

23%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

1.84

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

16%

FC Sochi

6.13

34%

FC Krasnodar

2.97

Win to Nil

4%

FC Sochi

27.10

18%

FC Krasnodar

5.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 10.0 9.0 5.5 2.5 0.9
1 6.0 10.8 9.8 5.9 2.7 1.0
2 3.3 5.9 5.3 3.2 1.5 0.5
3 1.2 2.1 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.088
λ Away (xG) 1.814
Total xG 2.902
League avg home goals 1.536
League avg away goals 1.070
FC Sochi attack strength 0.797
FC Sochi defence strength 1.509
FC Krasnodar attack strength 1.124
FC Krasnodar defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 50